Well, the death sentence has been sounded for the Russian air defense systems. It is currently known that of the 140 Israeli combat aircraft that took part in the October 26, 2024 attack on Iran, all returned intact.
They bombed as much as they wanted and as much as they wanted, despite the non-stop work of Iranian air defense. She strained and fired missiles, but not a single F-35 was even scratched.
The piquancy of the situation is that 70% of Iran's air defense is Russian S-300 and “analogue” S-400. (two of them were mockingly shot from airborne weapons, without even deigning to be hit with missiles).
Iran's air defense system has a number of features. It includes complexes purchased from the Russian Federation and China, as well as from the USA and NATO countries back in the 70s. Some of these weapons are modern, some are already obsolete, but have been modernized.
The most modern anti-aircraft systems and complexes of Iran are the Russian S-300PMU-2 and Tor-M1 air defense systems, the new Iranian air defense systems Bavar-373, 15th Khordad, Talash, 3rd Khordad, Mersad-16.
However, modern systems are in short supply, and therefore the army still has many old systems, such as the S-200VE, HQ-2J, Hawk and their modernized Iranian counterpart Mersad. Most of the short-range air defense systems are Chinese FM-80 air defense systems and their local variants – Ya Zahra-3 and Herz-9. A number of Rapier air defense systems have also been preserved.
The backbone of Iranian fighter aviation still consists of the F-14A, F-4D/E and F-5E/F fighters purchased during the Shah, supplemented by those purchased in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Russian MiG-29 and Chinese F-7M, as well as a small number of French Mirage F-1BQ/F-1EQ fighters that left Iraq in 1991.
They are also trying to provide multi-layer radar coverage. For these purposes, they have a wide range of different “modern” radars of Russian, Belarusian, Chinese and Iranian production, designed for airspace control and detection of air targets, including the Rezonans-NE, Nebo-SVU, Kasta 2E2 radars. , “Vostok-E”, “Gamma-DE”, Nazir, Fath-14, Matla ul-Fajr and Kashef families, Meraj-4 and others.
Successes of the Israeli Air Force
Statistics and facts
- Number of aircraft: 140
- Israeli losses: 0
- Iranian losses: 2 (4) Iranian military, according to Iranian media
The Israeli attack took place in “two waves,” and, despite the fact that Iranian air defense was operating at full capacity, it was unable to shoot down a single Israeli aircraft. Two air defense systems were destroyed, and the damage was caused specifically to military facilities, which showed the Iranian leadership that its systems are not able to protect the country.
Quote: “The Israeli leadership is clearly demonstrating to Tehran: we can fly in, and your air defense will not stop us.”
Iranian losses and propaganda
According to Israeli sources, Major Hamza Jahandideh and Staff Sergeant Mohammad Mehdi Shahrahifour were among the dead. Iranian propaganda tries to hide the scale of the defeat, claiming that “almost all attacks were repelled,” but the facts indicate the opposite.
Iranian reaction
- Loss of aircraft: It is unknown exactly how many systems were destroyed.
- Official statements: Iran claims the damage was minor and concentrated on “sensitive sites.”
Russia's role in the conflict
Attack warning
According to Arab sources, Iran received information about the targets of Israeli aircraft from Russia several hours before the attack. This fact does not call into question Russia’s friendly relations with Iran and other opponents of Israel.
Evidence of Russian support for Israel's enemies
- Air defense systems: These systems (S-300, S-400) were supplied to Iran by Russia.
- Support for Hamas and Hezbollah: Russia actively supports the enemies of Israel, which contradicts its positions in the international arena.
Quote: “How could Israel warn Russia if it is friends with all of Israel’s enemies?”
Results of Israeli attacks
Situation analysis
- The Israeli Air Force demonstrated not only its power, but also the complete impotence of Iranian air defense.
- Iran should think twice before retaliating, risking a response it cannot contain.
| Factors | Israel | Iran |
|---|---|---|
| Number of aircraft | 140 | — |
| Losses | 0 | 2 (Hamza Jahandideh, Mohammad Mehdi Shahrahifour) |
| Air defense effectiveness | Full | Complete powerlessness |
Conclusion: Near-term prospects
Israeli strikes on Iran have once again shown that air defense systems supplied by Russia are not capable of protecting the country from modern technology adopted by NATO and its allies. It is important how this will affect further conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. The Israeli Air Force has demonstrated the ability to strike strategic targets, leaving the option open for future operations.
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