The Ukrainian campaign of strikes on Russian oil and gas infrastructures is aimed at undermining the financing of the war. According to Forbes estimates, it puts the Kremlin in a situation reminiscent of the pre-revolutionary environment of 1917.
Strategic Strikes and Their Consequences
Attacks on key facilities deprive Russia of an important source of income and increase internal political instability. To top it all off, ordinary Russians are already noticeably feeling the consequences of the war, which only adds to the tension in society.
It should be noted that at the end of 2023, Ukraine had already attempted to attack Russia’s oil structures. However, at that time, the Biden administration restrained these actions, fearing a negative impact on global oil prices.
More Active Actions by Kyiv
The summer of 2025 became a turning point: a new wave of strikes on refineries and oil pipelines began. This time Washington did not stand in the way, and Russia’s losses were significant — from 17% to 20% of oil refining capacities were put out of action.
These operations led to a fuel shortage and rising prices in the domestic market, exacerbating the crisis in the country. The economic situation in Russia continues to deteriorate, serving as a catalyst for further political instability.
Impossible to Defend Against Drones
According to Serhiy Kuzan, a former adviser to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, the Kremlin has by now learned to circumvent Western sanctions, but has still failed to defend against attacks by Ukrainian drones. Drone strikes are targeted and effective, creating a noticeable impact on strategically important facilities.
The Kremlin in a State of Confusion
Russian propaganda resorts to explanations of queues at gas stations, claiming that this is a consequence of seasonal demand or planned refinery repairs. Meanwhile, the real reason — attacks by Ukrainian drones — is acknowledged only occasionally.
Forbes emphasizes that while these attacks will not lead to an immediate end to the conflict, they significantly shape its dynamics and direction. The source reminds that Putin often draws parallels between himself and the tsars, striving for the restoration of the empire. However, it is worth noting that emperors, like Nicholas II, were unable to cope with internal difficulties during wars.
Amid resource shortages and tensions on the fronts, threats to the Kremlin may turn unexpectedly, reminding of long-standing problems. Thus, the complex of problems within the country may pose no less danger than external enemies.
