NAnews – Nikk.Agency Israel News

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In recent years, many people have begun to perceive the world as a place where there is no longer stability or predictability. It seems that the world has lost its mind, and even amid all the tragedies and conflicts, there is no confidence that adults will be able to resolve everything.

More and more often, there are assumptions that we are on the brink of a third world war. But is it really the case? What is really happening in the world? These questions are addressed in the analytical article, published by Valerii Pekar on the site site-ua.

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An important conclusion that can be drawn from his work is that the world is governed not by random events or whims of individual politicians, but by global trends and interests.

Politicians, even the most vivid and eccentric, ultimately act within these trends, as otherwise they would not have been able to remain in power. Regardless of whether it’s democracies or autocracies, each politician must align with the interests of their country and its global role in world politics.


Trends and Interests: Why It’s More Important Than It Seems

We cannot underestimate the importance of global trends because they are what determine the behavior of both countries and individual personalities. The interests that manifest in various parts of the world shape the actions of political leaders. Their decisions are not just random but responses to challenges dictated by economic and political realities.

For example, the situation in Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Asia is largely explained by the trends that leave their imprint on the behavior of those who make important political decisions.

Author explains that even in times of crises and changes in civilizations, political forces act not according to personal ambitions but according to objective laws that can be traced. The role of economic interests, technological progress, and cultural transformations plays no less a role than political influence.


The Great Competition of Civilizations

In fact, civilizations have always been in fierce competition. And this competition does not always reflect direct confrontations, as in the case of wars. In a global context, competition often manifests as a fight for resources, influence, technological development, and cultural values. Pekar reminds us that throughout human history, two key civilizations — the West and the East — have gone parallel, trying to catch up with or surpass each other.

The process of globalization, economic and cultural integration, on the one hand, allowed civilizations to interact and exchange knowledge, but on the other hand, it strengthened the competitive advantages of the most developed countries. The West, in particular, through colonization and the use of the natural resources of other continents, managed to significantly outpace the rest of the world in terms of technological progress and economic development.

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However, history does not stop, and those countries that were lagging behind are beginning to catch up, and sometimes even surpass.

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Contemporary Challenges of the Global World

We live in an era where global powers are beginning to change. For the last 500 years, Western countries have been ahead of Eastern ones due to factors such as the scientific and technological revolution, industrialization, the development of capitalism, and the strengthening of cultural influence. However, these achievements turned into colonial domination for Western countries, which, in turn, created global inequality. In this context, the East remained poor and developing, while the Western world took “profits” from their resources.

Today, the situation is changing. Technologies and economic globalization have led to developing countries beginning to narrow the gap, with China, in particular, becoming one of the leaders in this process.

“The West itself helped the losers begin to catch up and then surpass. This process is related to the relocation of jobs to countries with cheap labor, which facilitated the spread of technologies and labor organization methods.”


The Long-Awaited Moment of Change

However, in recent decades, development has reached a critical point. Pekar describes a moment when the rent of development (profits from technological progress) has essentially run out. Economic growth, which once brought benefits only to the leading countries, now began to benefit those who were lagging behind. As a result, problems and job losses in first-world countries, such as the US and the UK, became evident.

Once high-tech countries found themselves on the brink of a new catastrophe, when it became impossible to ensure sustainable development without harming the planet. “The global threat” today is not only that the world faces resource depletion but also that the countries responsible for this cannot find solutions to global challenges.


Transition to a New Reality

The world is facing a question that has become urgent for all: Will humanity find new paths and solutions to avoid phase catastrophes?

Or will we be forced to go through a phase transition that leads to a complete or partial catastrophe?

One of the possible scenarios is the division of civilizations into isolated blocks, where each country or region will solve its problems independently.

But it’s not so simple. It is important to understand that the future is unpredictable, and it is impossible to precisely predict which scenario will turn out to be correct. Pekar describes several possible future scenarios, from peaceful coexistence to destructive catastrophes such as the “post-apocalypse.”

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These scenarios include both peaceful and catastrophic variants, each of which has its own features and consequences for the world, including Israel and Ukraine. Here are the main ones:

  1. Scenario “Renaissance of Democracy”
    In this case, the global community moves towards the revival of democratic values and institutions. Countries, including Israel and Ukraine, strengthen cooperation based on common democratic principles and values such as human rights, freedom, and the rule of law. In this scenario, relations between the West and East may improve, and new international alliances focused on maintaining peace and stability may emerge.
  2. Scenario “Triumph of Technofascism”
    This scenario assumes the development of authoritarian regimes that support technological innovations and total control over society through digital technologies. In this case, Israel, as a technological power, may find itself at the forefront of such changes, but it risks facing problems related to the violation of human rights and freedoms. Ukraine, in turn, may be in the center of clashes between such regimes, trying to preserve its independence and democracy.
  3. Scenario “Chinese World”
    China becomes the global leader, imposing its model of governance and development. In this case, the international order changes, and countries like Israel and Ukraine must adapt to new economic and political realities, possibly becoming part of the Chinese sphere of influence. This scenario could lead to global competition for resources and technologies, as well as a shift in the balance of power on the international stage.
  4. Scenario “Post-Apocalypse”
    In the worst-case scenario, if humanity fails to cope with global challenges such as resource depletion, climate change, and technological catastrophes, the world could face a post-apocalyptic state. In this scenario, countries will be ruled by anarchy, and Israel and Ukraine may find themselves in a situation of severe instability, where survival will depend on endurance and adaptability. This catastrophic scenario will lead to the destruction of existing world orders.
  5. Scenario “Tragedy and Mobilization”
    This scenario assumes a partial catastrophe, followed by the mobilization of all forces to restore and reorganize society. Global crises may be overcome, but the process of recovery will require significant effort and time. Israel and Ukraine in this scenario will have to work with other countries to cope with the consequences of global catastrophes.
  6. Scenario “Separate Domains”
    In this case, the world splits into several major blocks, each of which exists according to its own laws and rules. Countries like Israel and Ukraine may find themselves in different “domains,” with their own economic and political interests. This may lead to new confrontations between different countries but also to opportunities for local alliances and cooperation.

Pekar emphasizes that these scenarios do not necessarily lead to total catastrophe, but they open up a wide range of possibilities for the future development of the world, including Israel and Ukraine.

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The World Faces a Big Choice

The future of the world depends on whether the global community can find a new path for all countries to avoid global chaos and wars.

The time for change is inevitable, and each of us must be ready for it. Whether it is a political choice, technological development, or the defense of traditional values — this will determine the future of humanity.

Impact of Global Changes on Israel and Ukraine

So how will global trends and possible changes affect Israel and Ukraine? Both of these countries are currently undergoing active formation of a new political and economic landscape, which is largely connected to changes in global politics.

For Israel, an important factor is its strategic position at the intersection of East and West, making it an active participant in international politics. In the context of global changes and the struggle for leadership, Israel may find itself at the center of new geopolitical processes. Military and political alliances, economic sanctions, and trade relations with a number of countries will be reconsidered, requiring Israel to be flexible and quickly adapt to new realities.

Ukraine, on the other hand, is an important element in the balance of power in Eastern Europe. Amid the ongoing aggression from Russia, Ukraine is forced to intensify its search for support on the international stage. But the change in the global order may present new challenges for Kyiv, such as the possible weakening of Western support or the reshuffling of political alliances in the region.

NAnews – News of Israel closely monitors all these changes, highlighting key events and analyzing the impact of global and local processes on Israel and Ukraine.

How will these changes in the global order affect our countries? What new threats and opportunities will open up for them? These questions continue to be the focus of our publication.

We continue to track how international forces and internal processes in Eastern European countries and the Middle East will influence international stability and the future of these two countries, as their relations and mutual support are of great importance for global politics.

Full article (Ukr.) – https://site.ua/valerii.pekar/kudi-kotitsya-svit-iyvqekm

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