Iran is slipping into winter. And it doesn’t know what to grasp: what the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine records

Iran is approaching the winter season with a set of problems that under normal conditions would stretch over years. Now they overlap: economic collapse, water shortage, power system failures, agricultural downturn. This conclusion was made by the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine in a fresh analytical report dated November 24, 2025.

Iran enters the cold season as if no one prepared. The economy is stagnant. Water is melting. Electricity is fluctuating. And all this simultaneously — Ukrainian intelligence simply records the facts, without unnecessary emotions.

0.3% growth — it’s laughable to even discuss.

A 10% drop in imports, a 16% drop in exports — this trend no longer surprises anyone. Inflation exceeds 40%. Food prices jerk up every month, and in some cities, people buy food on installment. This usually happens where planning has long died.

With water, it’s a crisis without pauses. In Tehran, reservoirs are filled to 5%, in Mashhad — to 3%. This is not “below normal,” this is — almost empty. Hydroelectric power stations can’t handle the capacity, industry is stalling, regions are jumping between outages. Agriculture has declined so much that farmers don’t even try to make optimistic forecasts.

Protests have once again taken to the streets. Who’s coming out? Everyone: oil workers, teachers, pensioners, medical workers. Each has their own list of grievances, but it sounds the same: let us live, not just survive. And all this against the backdrop of winter, which moves people faster than any slogans.

For the region, this sounds alarming. When Iran weakens — it’s good. When Iran breaks down — it’s worse. A weakened regime may lash out, start distracting the population with external conflicts, proxy groups, anything. This is understood in Kyiv. This is understood in Jerusalem too.

Ukrainian intelligence directly hints: the situation is not just internal, it goes beyond the country’s borders. The economy falls — the regime’s behavior changes. Water disappears — energy changes. People take to the streets — everything else changes. And each of these “changes” reflects far beyond Iran.

Therefore, such reports are not about curiosity. They are about security.

And it is precisely such materials that are later analyzed in NAnews — News of Israel | Nikk.Agency, explaining why the collapse of the Iranian system is not a foreign story, but a direct factor affecting Ukraine and Israel right now.