Will they also send 2 aircraft carriers? “The Israeli government insists on Russia’s participation in negotiations on Lebanon, incl. and to “reduce US influence” – media

Ynet said, citing “high-ranking government sources,” that there were direct contacts between the Kremlin and Jerusalem. “The Russians will take a special position in implementing the agreement and preventing further escalation”writes Ynetadding that

“Contacts between the Kremlin and Jerusalem took place directly.

Israel is interested in Russian participation and is pushing for it in the hope that this will maintain the stability of the agreement and the possibility of its implementation, and also reduce dependence on American participation in the region.”

Let us remind you that The only Russian aircraft carrier is the heavy aircraft-carrying cruiser Admiral Kuznetsov. built in the last years of the existence of the Soviet Union at the Black Sea Shipyard in Nikolaev (Ukrainian SSR) for the USSR Navy. The theft of a ship from Ukraine after the collapse of the USSR in a state of unfinished testing made it impossible for the ship to be escorted by the manufacturing plant.

“Admiral Kuznetsov” has been in the Russian Navy since 1991. During this time it was repaired at least seven times. In total, the process lasted approximately 13 years. The cruiser took part in the bombing of Syria in 2016-2017, after which it began repairs, which are still ongoing.

British forces escorting the Admiral Kuznetsov on its way back from bombing raids in Syria have called the Russian aircraft carrier a “ship of shame.”

“We'll keep an eye on the Admiral Kuznetsov as she sneaks back to Russia. (This is) a ship of shame whose mission was to increase the suffering of the people of Syria.”– the agency reports the words of British Defense Minister Michael Fallon Reuters.

Israel and the international trust dilemma: how could Russia's choice undermine the long-standing alliance with the United States?

Following the October 7 attack, the US provided massive support to Israel. – starting from sending aircraft carriers to the Mediterranean Sea, assistance with arms supplies, ending with international lobbying of Israeli interests at the UN. At such moments, for Israel, the alliance with America seems inviolable: it protects the country from attacks, guarantees access to advanced technologies and political support. However, the Israeli government's possible decision to participate in negotiations with Lebanon and Hezbollah under the auspices of Russia has caused bewilderment and growing dissatisfaction among American allies.

Why does the Israeli government “trust” Russia, despite its close ties with the enemies of the Jewish state – Iran and Hezbollah? Russia, in an attempt to strengthen its international position, is seeking to take the role of a mediator, offering its assistance in ensuring peace on the Israeli-Lebanese border. A statement by Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov underscores this desire, but it is difficult to ignore the rationale behind such peace initiatives. Russia is pursuing its interests by using close ties with Iran and Hezbollah to become a key player in the negotiations. In this position, in her opinion, it is beneficial for Moscow to show that only it can influence the militants and Iranian structures in order to stop the attacks and stabilize the situation.

Russia's position: from isolation to false friendship with Israel?

Russia is seeking to engage in diplomacy on Lebanon to divert attention from its own isolation following international condemnation for its invasion of Ukraine. The role of “peacemaker,” according to Moscow, will give it a chance to once again be involved in international negotiations, despite sanctions and limited contacts with the West. It is clear that Russia is looking forward to the opportunity to be involved on the global stage and demonstrate its influence in key regions, even if its assistance consists of negotiations with armed groups whose interests are often opposed to those of Israel.

Quote from RIA Novosti: “As a permanent member of the UN Security Council, we are working on resolution 1701 and actively participating in discussions, including contacts in New York and bilateral negotiations.”

But what kind of trust can Israel have in Russia if Moscow openly supports Iran and Hezbollah and uses them to achieve its political goals?? Russia, which “cares” for a peaceful settlement in Lebanon, deliberately does not hide its cooperation with Israel’s enemies, which threatens the stability of the region and undermines American influence.

USA and Israel: reliable alliance and support at the most difficult moment

• Military assistance from the US: In the first days after the attack on Israel, the United States sent its aircraft carriers to the region, demonstrating its readiness to defend the country.
• International pressure on countries supporting Iran: Washington has made great efforts to minimize Iranian influence at the UN, calling emergency meetings and condemning militant attacks.
• Weapons supplies: The United States provided critical munitions and support, strengthening Israel's capabilities to defend against attacks, including support from Iran and its allies.

The American government, which fully supported Israel, considers its participation in the conflict not only a duty, but also an important mission that the allies are obliged to respect. But the Israeli government appears to have “preferred” a political strategy that jeopardizes their strong alliance by strengthening Russia's influence in negotiations with Hezbollah.

Question for discussion: How can Israel, which has received full support from the United States, weaken its cooperation with America and turn to Russia, a country that supports its enemies, for help?

Russia and Iran strive for close cooperation in the field of defense

The agreement on a comprehensive strategic partnership between Russia and Iran will enshrine the parties' desire for closer cooperation in the field of defense and interaction in the interests of peace and security at the regional and global levels.

This was stated by Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov on October 31, 2024 at the plenary session of the II Minsk International Conference on Eurasian Security. He noted that the agreement is being prepared for signing in the near future.

What is the danger of Israel's cooperation with Russia?

Cooperation with Russia carries serious risks for Israel. In addition to the threat of deterioration in relations with the United States, an alliance with Russia creates certain political and military dangers that could affect stability in the region. Moscow, which has close ties to Iran and militant groups in the Middle East, could in practice use its negotiating position with Hezbollah to advance its interests over Israel's. This threatens Israeli security, since Russia may not fulfill its obligations to Israel and take advantage of the situation for further rapprochement with Iran.

1. Risks to US credibility: By supporting Russia as a mediator, Israel could undermine America's trust and call into question its willingness to provide similar support in the future.
2. The danger of losing independence: Israel may face political pressure to submit to Russian terms that do not take into account its security and long-term interests.
3. Instability on the northern borders: Russia, with support in Lebanon and close ties to Hezbollah, may deliberately limit US intervention, which will complicate the situation on Israel's borders.

Israel, seeking a settlement, risks being influenced by a state whose real benefit is to demonstrate its influence in the world, and not the security of Israel.

Why does Russia seek to participate in negotiations?

Russia’s desire to intervene in the Lebanese conflict is explained not only by its desire to play a significant role in the Middle East, but also by attempts to justify itself to the world for its aggressive actions against Ukraine. Russia, isolated by the West for flouting international norms, sees the talks as a chance to deflect attention from its reputation as an aggressor. That is why Moscow is actively involved in diplomatic processes and offers its mediation, hoping to restore its image in the eyes of the international community.

Conclusion: How will Israel explain its decision to its allies?

The Israeli government must understand the consequences of its position. Cooperation with Russia, which not only supports Iran and Hezbollah but is also an adversary of the United States, could strain relations with American allies. This would risk diminishing US support and complicate Israel's political future.

Question for readers: How can Israel justify its decision to the United States, which supported it in the most difficult moments? And what awaits the country if America sees Israel’s cooperation with Russia as a threat to their partnership?

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